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Saturday, December 26th, 2009
erudito
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3:29p Climate links
Outer atmosphere is apparently cooling significantly. (The interaction with CO2 emissions is complicated.)
Nice short discussion on the lack of any recent warming trend. There has been no statistically significant warming since 1995. Paper claiming Earth has a “saturated greenhouse effect”.
A new paper argues that CFC’s and cosmic rays are the main drivers of climate change and predicts 50 years of cooling. The paper.
Paper on the scientific literature and the global cooling scare of the 1970s:
Climate science as we know it today did not exist in the 1960s and 1970s. Which should give us pause on several grounds.
About Greenland’s glaciers:
This positive feedback loop was a bad news surprise that our climate models did not predict. Now we have evidence of a good news surprise that no model predicted--a negative feedback loop that acts to keep the southeast portion of Greenland's Ice Sheet from runaway glacial acceleration. We can expect many more surprises--good and bad--over the coming decades, as our climate responds to the huge shove human activities are giving it. James Randi has come out as an AGW sceptic: about that. A sceptical website that nails its colours to its URL. Bob Carter responds to Barry Jones about scepticism and science. Website that provides clickable surface temperature data.
A taxonomy of belief on climate change. Recharacterising the model. Characterising American public opinion into six categories from the alarmed to the dismissive. The full report (pdf).
Copenhagen is the sort of place where Hugo Chavez’s grievance and revolutionary rhetoric gets a standing ovation. Drawing conclusions from Hugo Chavez’s standing ovation.
The summit ends in anger and confusion:
Tempers flared during an all-night plenary session, held after most of 120 visiting world leaders had left. Lumumba Stanislaus Di-Aping, the Sudanese negotiator, said the draft text asked “Africa to sign a suicide pact”. One Saudi delegate said it was without doubt “the worst plenary I have ever attended.” A very limited agreement. At Copenhagen, the commas really, really matter. Suggesting Oz did not get such a good deal. The summit generated a great deal of plane travel and enormous amounts of paper. Noting there are a few definitional issues over what constitutes “climate aid”.
Defending the environmental impact of farm animals. More.
About the green movement’s “people problem”.
Answering objections to the nuclear option.
Reading through the 2,000 pages of the Climategate emails:
But as the email story unfolds over the years, it is clear that the history of climate and temperature change over the past 10,000 years remains mostly speculative and largely unknown. The emails also imply that, in part because the past is so unknown, any attempt at long-range forecasts is, at best, uncertain. Also clear is that the official science on climate change as we know it today, looking backward and forward, has been developed and controlled by the relatively small collection of scientists who wrote most of the emails. Working directly or indirectly for the IPCC, the scientists seem to have become captive of that organization’s objectives, which was to find “the hand of man” in climate records to justify plans to change the climate in future. The scientists, in other words, became engaged in the all-too-familiar business of decision-based evidence making. … If the emails show anything on the climate scenarios, it is that the 100-year science projections never really got settled. They were a product of climate and economic models that remained problematic all through the 13 -year email record. Equally uncertain were the attempts to reconstruct paleoclimate records going back 1,000 years. Part two:
If temperature history is the “only” way to test climate models, the tests we have on hand — mainly the shaky temperature history of the last 1,000 or 2,000 years — suggest current climate models are not getting a proper scientific workout. … Over the next 10 years, the emails become a zone of internal conflict and external battles to suppress criticism, ridicule critics and resist all outside interference with the official science story they had assembled: The late 20th century was the warmest in history, and the next 100 years could be a climate nightmare. The Mann technique of aggressive intervention in the peer-review process over Mr. Briffa’s work sets the tone for what would become a major strategy as all the scientists within the IPCC loop waged war on any science and papers that contravened or questioned the official view. … The emails reinforce the worst of suspicions that the official scientific community did all they could to smear Mr. McIntyre and Mr. McKitrick, prevent publication of the work of skeptics, manipulate the peer-review process and isolate all skeptics as cranks. … Exactly who did what with which data requires a full investigation by competent scientists and official bodies. A post with lots of Climategate links. Michael Mann insists the scientific case for CAGW is still solid. About William Connelley’s role in making sure Wikipedia™ kept to the agreed line:
All told, Connolley created or rewrote 5,428 unique Wikipedia articles. His control over Wikipedia was greater still, however, through the role he obtained at Wikipedia as a website administrator, which allowed him to act with virtual impunity. When Connolley didn’t like the subject of a certain article, he removed it — more than 500 articles of various descriptions disappeared at his hand. When he disapproved of the arguments that others were making, he often had them barred — over 2,000 Wikipedia contributors who ran afoul of him found themselves blocked from making further contributions. Acolytes whose writing conformed to Connolley’s global warming views, in contrast, were rewarded with Wikipedia’s blessings. In these ways, Connolley turned Wikipedia into the missionary wing of the global warming movement. The Medieval Warm Period disappeared, as did criticism of the global warming orthodoxy. With the release of the Climategate Emails, the disappearing trick has been exposed. The glorious Medieval Warm Period will remain in the history books, perhaps with an asterisk to describe how a band of zealots once tried to make it disappear. If you are trying to “save the planet” of course it is entirely legitimate to deny the “enemies of salvation” a forum. A case study of how the CRUtape crew manipulated the peer review process. Comment from a physicist experienced in the peer review process. Much of the “nothing to see here attitude” comes from people who take it for granted that you do whatever is required to ban “illegitimate” ideas from having any standing, for error has no rights.
current mood: sleepy
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(comment on this) Friday, December 25th, 2009
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nuwishas_tail
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5:08p
Off to brave the Boxing Day Sales, Sherlock Holmes tonight, too. Festive season being quite festive, still full. Waves to the Moffitt clan
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cakewrecks
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2:30p Make Today Marry
http://cakewrecks.blogspot.com/2009/12/make-today-marry.html Marry who, you ask?
Why, marry Christmas, of course!
 And going by this next cake, I'm guessing "Christmas" is a small plush snowman:
 Although that giant smear of icing does make you wonder what it *used* to say. Here they got "Merry" right, but....
(Correction: I meant to say "however." So stop looking at me like that.)Here's an interesting one:
 " Alue"? [blink blink] Yeah, I got nuthin'.
If you've been reading this blog for any length of time, then you know how important it is to get those writing and grammar skills ingrained at a young age.
 Like so. Now, it IS Christmas, so I'm afraid the big guy has to make an appearance:
 And I am so, so sorry. He does come bearing greetings, however.
 Although if you misspell "Christmas," then he's going to go all stony faced. Still, I can't think of a better harbinger of Christmas cheer than a really, really constipated Santa:
Dude. Nick, seriously, try a little coffee or something. I think you're about to put the "pop" in "apoplexy."
Well, happy Christmas, my dear Wreckies! Oh, and Krystle M., Michelle I., Jane K., Travis P., Sarah, Merideth S., Nils T., & Lisa H., also don't forget the importance of proper fiber intake. Just sayin'.
- Related Wreckage: In So Many Words
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chefcdb
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8:22a The Mull of Bahía
Thus far, our attempts to set new holiday traditions seems to be going swimmingly at The Green Goddess. We had a little Christmas party for our employees and a few friends who really got this crazy enterprise lifted off the ground; to celebrate that event we adapted a Brazilian recipe for mulled wine we now call The Mull of Bahía. First of all I must confess, who knew tropical Brazil had a taste for hot, mulled red wine? Good thing somebody there had the idea because cachaça really lifts up both the flavor and the potency of this warming winter wonderland mug.
We lucked into some pretty good South African pinot noir at a very favorable price, steeped it until quite hot with a little lemongrass that the magical PZB garden has flourishing, a pair of satsumas, chopped pear and a good apple (you could add apple or pear cider instead/also), adding just a little sprinkle of cinnamon, letting the flavors slowly heat for 30 minutes or so. When this mulling wine is actually quite hot, add a hefty dose of honey. You'll be able to tell how much is needed because the lemongrass and wine by themselves will be tannic, and the honey will smooth out that bitterness towards a roundness that is not so much sweet as it will gain balance and depth of character. Strain and let cool just briefly, just long enough that the heat doesn't completely incapacitate the upcoming addition of booze. Per bottle of steeped wine, add 3 oz of cachaça and 1 1/2 oz of orange liqueur (we use the excellent Mathilde orange rather than triple sec or Grand Marnier, but the awesome Creole Shrubb from Martinique would also be very tasty here). We love the Fazenda "Mae de Ouro" cachaça, but lately it's been hard to track down. I like the Fazenda because it has a hint of smokiness to match its smooth flavor. Currently we use both Cabana (a bit pricier, but well made) and LeBlon (perhaps a bit lighter in style, but packing a nervous edge, a brightness that is more like Rhum Agricole or silver tequila that makes it a dynamite cocktail partner).
Keep warm in a thermos. It tends to disappear at a festively rapid pace...
This week we decided to feature the 1912 Madeira as the concluding course on the tasting menu. We match it to some great old Dutch gouda, the Beemster - aged two years which is long enough for the cheese to develop some salty crystals while retaining its creaminess, a bit of smoked almonds and either Asian pear or gingery poached carambola/star fruit. I wrote in the menu that it's easy to imagine St. Nick putting up his feet after a long night of making magic across the globe and taking a nip of vintage Madeira with some familiar Dutch cheese. This presentation of this remarkable Barbeito Bual Madeira has been very satisfying, for us at The Green Goddess and to our guests. Many of them are discovering the authentic pleasures of genuine vintage Madeira for the first time, but we also had the writer of a richly detailed book about Madeira, David Hancock with his aptly titled "Oceans of Wine," appear at the restaurant with a friend who had just been at the Lopez de Heredia Spanish Wine Feast a few nights earlier. Mr. Hancock really liked the match of Bual, a medium-sweet Madeira that is drinking with such amazing freshness for any wine (much less for a spirit from 1912!), to the caramel and toffee flavors of the old Gouda with our kitchen's smoky almonds. I might even be lucky enough to cater an upcoming January event where we would taste some really old Madeira from pre-phylloxera years, which in Madeira would mean wines from the 1850s or before. Wanna attend that party? I thought so! I am definitely keeping my fingers crossed to get that gig, to celebrate "Oceans of Wine" here in New Orleans with the Tastevin Society and David Hancock.
It's been a great holiday celebration for us to feature a truly amazing spirit in this 1912 Madeira, best of all, at a reasonable price. It's the kind of thing that leaves our guests happy and excited about traditions they are glad to have experienced, and that recognition of traditions worth sharing, in no small measure, is the most important goal of restaurant hospitality. Letting people taste a great tradition, with this vintage Madeira, is just such a good feeling for me and our krewe. It's one little way to make time pause for just a moment in this hectic holiday bustle, to savor a bit of holiday magic.
We've been having a blast with the menu lately: selling lots of Smoked Duck & Chestnut Pasta; little Thai Stuffed Eggplants with Crab, Mango and PZB's Basil; and a new salad featuring Fuyu persimmons with arugula, Port-braised shallots, a caramelized satsuma vinaigrette and my favorite new little taste: toasted pumpernickel bread crushed with toasted hazelnuts into a "dust," sprinkled all over the salad. I think Fuyu season is ending, which is too bad, but I like this dust so much we'll try to re-configure another reason to keep it around. Mike and Stan have been doing a good job dealing with a sudden influx of tasting menus during these holidays, and I feel that our service has been better. We are definitely having fun with our guests, showcasing all sorts of new cocktails, making pairing suggestions, and taking folks on our perfectly odd Green Goddess voyages.
Today I hope everybody takes an extra dose of time to pause and reflect on all the blessings we have, and all the blessings we want to give, here on Christmas. Thanks to all my readers for walking along these spasmodic pages with me, coming to dine with us at The Green Goddess, and enjoying life to the absolute fullest!
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fraerie
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7:43p Kitties
Preparations continue apace, final packing nearly complete, we've just been to drop the kitties off at their holiday camp for the duration.
Latté was exceptionally unhappy, hissing and growling and snarling. Perri took her usual path of hiding.
Hopefully nothing will go wrong while we are away. I would be dreadfully upset if they got out somehow, and even if the cattery rang now and said they had a spare spot - I don't think my in laws could catch the girls to take them down.
*Think positive thoughts*
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dw_colonial
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6:01a Om. Nom. Nom.
http://damned-colonial.dreamwidth.org/63249.html Well, it got less quiet in a hurry! badgerbag, her partner WINODW zond7, muse, her partner whose DW I don't know, Amy, and Yoz came round and we set punch on fire and ate pie and generally hung for a couple of hours. It was exactly the right number of people for my living room I think. Two more would have been OK, but more than that and the party would have had to split off into the kitchen.
Anyway! Punch was made and drunk (leftovers are in the fridge, and I can heat it by the mugful in the microwave), pies were eaten and some sent home with others, and I have just enough leftover noms to last me through the week til new year, I think. Hurrah!
I'm a little peeved that the iTunes library syncronisation tool I used appears to have not synced all my music, so despite going a bit mad last night with the downloading, not all of it wound up on the machine that was playing the Christmas mix tonight. Harrumph. In particularly, all the groovy/lounge/crooner stuff seems to have not made it across. Ah well.
Now I'm off to church... St John's, about 7 blocks from here, is a gay-friendly Episcopalian church. Carols at 10:30, service at 11. I'd better go find my coat and stuff.
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dalekboy
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5:21p And I'm spent...
Not going to talk too much about today's gig right now, have to rest up before we head out to Glenn's for Chrissy Dinner.
But have to say, what an absolutely awesome family to Santa for. Seriously, when I put the ad up on eBay, this was the sort of gig I dreamed of getting but didn't expect to.
Put it this way, I might be living in Cooma next year, and I would happily drive the 200km round trip to work for these people again, even if they only covered my petrol costs.
Best Christmas present I could have gotten.
current mood: jubilant
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dw_colonial
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3:11a Christmas noms
http://damned-colonial.dreamwidth.org/63003.html I invited people round for drinks and noms tonight, and I'm waiting for them to show up. (A neighbour called by earlier, and then another friend came and went before anyone else showed, but that's what I get for saying anytime after 5pm.) Unfortunately some others I invited are sick or have let me know they can't make it, so it's going to be a bit quiet, but I don't care because I have:
* home-made mince pies * lovely cheese (and crackers on which to put it) * olives * nougat (torrone) * crispy almond bread (gingerbread and chocolate flavours) * the makings of a rather exciting punch which I will make when some folks get here * Thea Gilmore's new Christmas album, which I am enjoying rather a lot * a Christmas tree * lights, incl. candles
Am I not Christmassy?
Tomorrow I will sit around in my pyjamas and watch videos and eat whatever is left over from tonight (it's a cunning plan, see.)
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